scuttleblurb

[scuttleslops] ODFL, AMD, INTC, CDNS, URI, VRSK, KNSL, WSO

scuttleblurb's avatar
scuttleblurb
Jul 30, 2026
∙ Paid

What are scuttleslops?

Old Dominion Freight Line, Q2 ‘26 Earnings Call, July 29, 2026

Old Dominion Freight Line reported a strong second quarter, with revenue rising 10.4%, earnings per share increasing 32.3%, and the operating ratio improving 450 basis points to 70.1%. The quarter marked a return to revenue growth despite less-than-truckload tonnage remaining 4.1% below the prior year, as a 15.2% increase in revenue per hundredweight more than offset lower volume. Excluding fuel surcharges, yield increased 5.5%, reflecting Old Dominion’s continued refusal to chase freight that does not meet its account-level return requirements.

Management presented the results as validation of a strategy maintained throughout the freight recession: preserve service quality, continue investing, and wait for competitors’ capacity and financial constraints to create market-share opportunities. Superior service supports pricing power: management’s strategy is to price each account according to its specific cost and profitability while generating enough yield to offset inflation and reinvest in the network.

Old Dominion has no meaningful constraints in drivers, tractors, trailers, or real estate and still has more than 35% excess service-center capacity. By contrast, management has heard that some competitors are struggling to complete pickups at month- and quarter-end, temporarily pushing freight toward Old Dominion. The company believes that when industry growth meaningfully accelerates, constrained competitors will surrender disproportionate share to Old Dominion, as occurred in previous upcycles when its tonnage growth exceeded peers by 800 to 1,000 basis points.

Demand is improving, although management still characterizes the recovery as being in the “early innings.” July tonnage remained approximately 1% below the prior year, but its sequential decline was much better than normal seasonality, and revenue per day was tracking 7.5% to 8% higher. Management also expects some freight to migrate from truckload to less-than-truckload as truckload rates strengthen, though it has not yet seen the large weight-per-shipment changes that would indicate a major inflection.

Operating leverage is embedded in the network. Old Dominion handled a 4% sequential tonnage increase with essentially the same workforce. Management believes third-quarter incremental margins can remain in the 45% to 50% range, and direct operating costs are already 200 to 250 basis points better than in the comparable 2022 quarter, when operating ratio was at 69.5%, despite materially lower shipment volumes. Overhead costs remain elevated as a percentage of revenue because the network is underutilized, leaving an estimated 300 to 400 basis points of potential leverage as revenue returns. Satterfield said the path to a sub-70% annual operating ratio is “pretty easy to map out” and suggested that the company’s eventual next objective could again be 500 basis points lower.

In response to a point about a competitor considering autonomous trucks for some line-haul operations, CFO Adam Satterfield points out that Old Dominion gets unusually high utilization from each tractor because the same truck often performs two different jobs: during the day, a driver uses it for pickup and delivery, or P&D—collecting freight from customers and delivering freight around a local market. At night, another driver uses that same tractor for linehaul—pulling trailers between Old Dominion terminals over longer highway routes. Autonomous trucking is currently much more applicable to the predictable highway portion than to local pickup and delivery. So an autonomous tractor might be useful at night between, say, Charlotte and Atlanta, but it may not be capable of handling the daytime work of navigating city streets.

That creates two unattractive choices for Old Dominion. It could dedicate the autonomous tractor exclusively to nighttime linehaul and buy another conventional tractor for daytime pickup and delivery, meaning it now owns two tractors to perform work previously handled by one. Alternatively, it could pay an autonomous-technology provider a per-mile or recurring fee on a tractor that only uses the technology during part of the day, leaving an expensive system idle during its daytime P&D work. So even if autonomy eliminates a linehaul driver, the savings may be offset by higher technology fees, the need for additional tractors, and lower overall equipment utilization

“But to me, it’s something too that, I don’t know, it’s hard to imagine a world where you’ve got 80,000-pound trucks driving up and down the highways without someone sitting in the cab to deal with those one-off scenarios, to deal with cargo theft that is already a problem when you’ve got a driver in the cab. So there’s a lot of other incremental challenges that would present and would have to be dealt with from a regulatory standpoint before this goes worldwide. And obviously, it’s been dealt with and utilized in certain lanes and so forth, but the scale to be nationwide, still have some reservations about.”

Related scuttleblurb post: [ODFL, SAIA, XPO] the LTL carriers are going to be ok (1/5/26)

Intel Corp., Q2 ‘26 Earnings Call; July 23, 2026

Intel delivered another better-than-expected quarter, marking its seventh consecutive period of exceeding guidance, with management arguing that improving execution is finally beginning to translate into tangible financial results. Second-quarter revenue reached $16.1 billion, $1.8 billion above the midpoint of guidance, while non-GAAP gross margin of 41.8% exceeded guidance by roughly 280 basis points and earnings per share came in at $0.42 versus a $0.20 outlook. CEO Lip-Bu Tan said Intel is experiencing “the strongest revenue growth in more than 15 years,” but the more important message was that product demand continues to exceed the company’s ability to supply it.

The Data Center and AI segment was the strongest part of the quarter, with revenue rising 59% year over year to $6.3 billion and operating margin reaching 40%. Xeon 6 is one of the fastest product ramps in Intel’s history, and Granite Rapids demand is particularly constrained because customer reception has exceeded expectations. Management now expects industry server CPU units to grow at a strong double-digit rate in both 2026 and 2027, with momentum extending into 2028, and believes increasing core counts should also support higher average selling prices.

This post is for paid subscribers

Already a paid subscriber? Sign in
© 2026 scuttleblurb · Privacy ∙ Terms ∙ Collection notice
Start your SubstackGet the app
Substack is the home for great culture